Global tensions appear to be boiling over in arms race to stockpile nuclear weapons

Important Takeaways:

  • The size of the world’s nuclear arsenal has quietly increased in several countries amid fears of World War III.
  • Officially, five countries – China, Pakistan, India, Israel, and North Korea – have increased their nuclear stockpiles by over 700 warheads over the past 40 years.
  • But a 2024 report by the Federation of American Scientists (FAS), a nonprofit global policy think tank, warned that three other nations with nuclear bombs worldwide may be quietly stockpiling even more arms for a potential nuclear showdown.
  • The fears come as groups like the US National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) have noted that a treaty to permanently ban nuclear testing has stalled, and countries like Russia and China have been seen constructing new buildings at their nuclear weapons sites.
  • However, the US government announced last month that it will also restart its nuclear testing programs in secret underground facilities.
  • FAS released the estimated global nuclear warhead inventories for 2024, showing there are 12,121 nuclear warheads scattered across nine nations.
  • Russia outnumbers the US by several hundred warheads.
  • The two nations control roughly 88 percent of this stockpile, with Russia reportedly holding 5,580 bombs and the US possessing 5,044.
  • China, France, India, Israel, North Korea, Pakistan, and the UK control the rest of world’s remaining 1,500 nuclear bombs.
  • Global tensions appear to be boiling over, with President Donald Trump warning Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky that he is ‘gambling with World War III’ by not agreeing to America’s peace terms.
  • Meanwhile, European leaders are publicly declaring their ability to defeat Russia in a major conflict.
  • The experts found that 2,100 American, Russian, British, and French ‘warheads are on high alert, ready for use on short notice.’

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Tense exchange at the White House: Zelensky’s belligerent attitude derails peace deal before they began

Trump Zelensky

Important Takeaways:

  • Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky started a blazing row with Vice President J.D. Vance in the Oval Office during a press conference on a pending minerals deal, prompting President Donald J. Trump to intervene strongly against the Ukrainian leader’s “very disrespectful” behavior.
  • Addressing a question from the press, Vance said that engaging in diplomacy may be “the path to peace and the path to prosperity” before Zelensky cut in to recall the beginnings of Ukraine’s conflict with Russia in 2014 and sarcastically ask him, “What kind of ‘diplomacy,’ J.D., are you asking about?”
  • Vance responded in strong terms, saying it was “disrespectful” to attack the Trump administration in front of the media in this way, while Zelensky continued to snipe at him about his understanding of Ukraine’s problems. President Trump lost patience when Zelensky began lecturing Vance on the negative consequences he would feel if the conflict crossed his “nice ocean.”
  • “Don’t tell us what we’re going to feel. You’re in no position to dictate what we’re going to feel,” Trump warned.
  • “You’re not in a good position. You don’t have the cards right now,” the President continued.
  • Zelensky shot back, saying that he was “not playing cards,” with Trump responding, “You’re playing cards. You’re gambling with the lives of millions of people. You’re gambling with World War III. And what you’re doing is very disrespectful to the country, this country, that’s backed you far more than a lot of people said they should have.”
  • “In this entire meeting, have you said ‘thank you’ once?” Vance asked, recalling how Zelensky campaigned for Kamala Harris in Pennsylvania in 2024.
  • President Trump told Zelensky in no uncertain terms he was “not winning” without American support, praising the bravery of Ukraine’s soldiers but stressing their reliance on American equipment. “Your people are dying. You’re running low on soldiers… And then you say, ‘I don’t want a ceasefire, I don’t want a ceasefire,’” he continued.
  • “I’ve empowered you to be a tough guy, and I don’t think you’d be a tough guy without the United States,” Trump added bluntly. “Your people are very brave, but you’re either going to make a deal, or we’re out.”

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WWIII has begun according to some analysts and experts: While we are in this gray zone you can see escalation everywhere

Map showing how the world Spirals Toward WWIII

Important Takeaways:

  • Some analysts now argue that World War III is no longer a distant possibility – it has already begun, just in ways more subtle than Western societies experienced at the start of the 20th century’s global conflicts.
  • National security expert Mark Toth and former US intelligence officer Col. Jonathan Sweet are among those arguing that World War III is already upon us.
  • ‘This third global conflagration doesn’t look or feel like what Hollywood envisioned,’ they claim.
  • ‘No mushroom clouds or apocalyptic wastelands. Rather, it is war by a thousand cuts, conducted across multi-regional and multi-domain battlefields.
  • The concept of hybrid warfare lies at the heart of arguments that World War III is already underway.
  • Toth and Sweet point the finger at Vladimir Putin as the main driver of the march toward disaster and say Russia’s strategy spans multiple arenas
  • In Africa, Russian paramilitary groups, such as the Wagner Group, have fueled coups, destabilizing democracies and consolidating Moscow’s influence.
  • And in Europe, espionage and damaging covert operations have resurfaced with Cold War intensity.
  • Arson attacks targeting logistical hubs across the West to disrupt critical supply chains while daring assassinations cut down Russian dissidents and political opponents in the streets
  • ‘Putin’s ability to conduct hybrid warfare is arguably his greatest strength,’ they emphasize, pointing to Russia’s continent-spanning efforts to spread disinformation, construct pro-Kremlin narratives and influence governments and citizens alike to turn against the West.
  • This includes sophisticated AI tools that generate deepfakes and fabricated narratives, such as the fake documentary ‘Olympics Have Fallen,’ designed to incite fear ahead of the Paris Olympics.
  • Even space has become a battlefield, with Putin threatening anti-satellite weapons aimed at crippling Western communications and intelligence networks.
  • Recent Ukrainian strikes using US-provided ATACMS missiles and UK-provided Storm Shadow missiles prompted Putin to unleash the never-before-seen ‘Oreshnik’ – a new hypersonic ballistic missile – on Ukraine.
  • Days prior, the Kremlin chief signed into effect an amended nuclear doctrine which officially lowered the threshold under which Moscow can deploy their devastating weapons.
  • Although their ranks are suffering heavy casualties, the Russian army is advancing westward in Ukraine at a rate faster than any other time after the initial days of the 2022 invasion, taking an area half the size of London over the past month.
  • Elsewhere, the Middle East is reeling amid the aftermath of Hamas’ October 7, 2023 attacks on Israel – a dastardly scheme that triggered an inferno of violence and has left tens of thousands dead in Gaza and Lebanon with no clear end in sight.
  • Hamas and Hezbollah’s chief backer Iran has further escalated the situation with missile and drone strikes against Israel, while analysts suspect Tehran is drawing dangerously close to developing nuclear weapons.
  • And in the Indo-Pacific, China’s escalating aggression against Taiwan and the Philippines has stoked fears of an explosive clash in this strategically critical region.
  • Recent months have seen Beijing adopt an increasingly threatening posture with top US defense officials warning China could attempt an invasion of Taiwan well before the end of the decade.
  • All the while… North Korea’s burgeoning nuclear arsenal having completely severed ties with South Korea and sent troops to aid Putin in his war on Ukraine.
  • ‘Putin’s invasion of Ukraine was the opening stage (of World War Three). It was his marker to the global community that the world order as it had existed since the end of the Second World War was no longer,’ argued Sweet and Toth.

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Dmitry Suslov, a high-ranking member in Russia, says the West has lost its fear of nuclear weapons and a ‘demonstrative’ nuclear test is in order

War-Weapons-as-sunset

Important Takeaways:

  • By Dmitry Suslov, member of the Russian Council on Foreign and Defense Policy, deputy director of World Economy and International Politics at Moscow’s Higher School of Economics, and Valdai Club expert.
  • There’s every indication that the US and several of its allies may soon allow Ukraine to use Western weapons, including long-range missiles, to attack targets located within – how do we put this? – Russia’s internationally recognized borders. Or those that existed before the 2014 Maidan in Kiev.
  • In America, as the New York Times recently reported, backers of the idea include Secretary of State Antony Blinken, most Republicans in Congress (including the Speaker of the House, Mike Johnson), and many members of the foreign policy establishment, including Victoria Nuland, who recently resigned as deputy secretary of state. In Europe, Poland, the Baltic states, Germany’s main opposition party, the CDU/CSU, and some Western European figures, including the head of the UK Foreign Office, David Cameron, are agitating for the measure.
  • Recently, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg made a similar appeal…
  • Such a decision would take the conflict to a fundamentally different level, would mean the erasure of one of the brightest “red lines” that has existed since February 24, 2022, and signal the direct entry of the US and its NATO bloc into the war against Russia
  • Accordingly, the worse the situation for Kiev at the front, the greater the risks of escalation that the West is willing to take.
  • The voices of those who argue that even this time Moscow will not inflict direct military damage on Western countries are growing louder.
  • This logic can inevitably lead to World War III. And if the West’s further involvement in the conflict in Ukraine is not stopped now, a full-scale “hot” war between Russia and NATO will become inevitable. Moreover, due to the superiority of the US and its 31 NATO members in the field of conventional weapons, this war will inevitably move to the nuclear level.
  • [Russian response to US/NATO threats] we should first tell the US and NATO roughly what Moscow already told London after David Cameron’s words about Ukraine’s right to strike anywhere with British Storm Shadow missiles. Namely, that in the event of an attack on ‘old’ Russian territory, Moscow reserves the right to strike any facilities of the countries concerned, including the US, anywhere in the world. There are many American military bases dotted around the globe.
  • Secondly, it is important to officially declare that if the US/NATO launches a non-nuclear strike on Russian territory in response to such a Russian strike, Moscow may in turn use nuclear weapons – in full accordance with the ‘Fundamentals of Russian State Policy in the Field of Nuclear Deterrence’.
  • Thirdly, since there has been talk of possible attacks not only on British but also on American facilities (and of a possible direct military response from the US), it would be desirable to hold exercises on the use of strategic nuclear forces in addition to the current exercises on the use of tactical weapons.
  • Finally, to confirm the seriousness of Russia’s intentions and to convince our adversaries of Moscow’s willingness to escalate, it is worth considering a demonstration (i.e. non-aggressive) nuclear explosion. The political and psychological effect of an atomic mushroom cloud, broadcast live on all the world’s television channels, will hopefully bring back to Western politicians the one thing that prevented wars between the great powers after 1945, and which they have now largely lost – the fear of nuclear war.

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Gordon Chang points out Washington’s failure and China’s intimidation of the Philippines could be leading to real disaster

China-Coast-Guard

Important Takeaways:

  • Thanks to Biden, China Could Start World War III Here
  • China is swarming the waters of the Philippines, hoping to intimidate Manila into surrendering territory. US President Joe Biden and the State Department keep on issuing warnings, but Chinese President Xi Jinping continues to ignore them, suggesting deterrence is failing….
  • [R]ecently, China took Scarborough Shoal …. Washington then brokered an agreement for both sides to withdraw their craft, but only Manila complied. Beijing has been in firm control of Scarborough ever since.
  • When Chinese leaders, generals and admirals saw Washington’s failure to act, they began moving against Second Thomas Shoal and other Philippine reefs and islets in the South China Sea, went after Japan’s islets in the East China Sea, and began reclaiming and militarizing features in the Spratly chain. Biden as vice president legitimized the worst elements in the Chinese political system by showing everyone that aggression works.
  • Beijing has been waging proxy wars on three continents: Europe in Ukraine, Africa across its northern rim, and Asia in Israel and surrounding areas.
  • Xi apparently now believes he is boss of the world. “Change is coming that hasn’t happened in 100 years,” the Chinese leader told Russian President Vladimir Putin after their 40th in-person chat, in Moscow on March 22 last year. “And we are driving this change together.”
  • Biden is now trying to reestablish deterrence. Britain and France desperately attempted to do that in late summer 1939 when they warned Germany that they would declare war if it invaded Poland. Then, German leaders did not believe the British and the French would in fact fight because for three years they had failed to make good on previous warnings.
  • The United States, therefore, is left with only risky options to deter China in the South China Sea. “Once a country loses credibility and prestige, it must fall back on military force to achieve its aims,” Gregory Copley, the president of the International Strategic Studies Association and editor-in-chief of Defense & Foreign Affairs Strategic Policy, told this author. “The U.S. has lost both around the world.”
  • Thanks to Biden, America is now the Britain and France of our decade, and the world is again on the brink of global conflict. Some 55 craft in Philippine waters tells us that China thinks it has a free hand.

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Russia’s most prominent news anchor says World War III ‘already underway’

Vladimir-Solovyov

Important Takeaways:

  • The Vladimir Putin ally and anchor of the Russia 1 channel has frequently described on his nightly programs how Moscow’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine was a confrontation with the West, pushed Kremlin rhetoric and issued nuclear threats against Kyiv’s allies.
  • Once again, Solovyov returned to this theme, warning that Russia was being “confronted with a formidable enemy—we are dealing with the collective West, so to speak, which means more than 50 countries.”
  • “Some of them are not Western, the West is no longer a geographical term,” Solovyov said in the clip posted by journalist and Russia watcher Julia Davis on Monday. “Either way, they will get the economy going and move it onto a war footing.”
  • He said this meant that Russia had only a year and a half to two years to bring its economy “up to a level when it will be able to stand up to these countries with their economic potential.”
  • “We are moving towards World War III. In my opinion, it’s already underway.

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With all the Saber rattling, can the U.S. fight three major wars at the same time?

Artillery-Pixabay-768x512

Important Takeaways:

  • Before our leaders drag us into the middle of World War III, perhaps we should step back and take a hard look at our own capabilities.
  • Military recruiting has been way down, ammunition levels have fallen to dangerously low levels because of how much we have sent to Ukraine, and our enemies have developed cutting edge new weapons…
  • In 2021, the U.S. military pulled out of Afghanistan and the Taliban reconquered the entire country even before we were able to get everyone out.
  • In 2022, Russia invaded Ukraine, and despite the fact that we have sent them giant mountains of money the Ukrainians are losing more territory with each passing day.
  • In 2023, a major war erupted in the Middle East. S. troops in Iraq and Syria have already been attacked more than 100 times because Iranian-backed forces are not afraid of us.
  • [Meanwhile] The Ukrainians have been shelling civilian targets in the Russian city of Belgorod in order to provoke the Russians…
  • Vladimir Putin is extremely angry about the attacks on Belgorod, and he is vowing to “intensify strikes”…
  • Over the past couple of years, the U.S. has provided far more funding for the war in Ukraine than anyone else
  • And now Joe Biden is warning that there is a risk that “the United States gets pulled in directly”…
    • “The stakes of this fight extend far beyond Ukraine,” Biden reiterated Friday. “They affect the entirety of the NATO alliance, the security of Europe, and the future of the transatlantic relationship.
    • “When dictators and autocrats are allowed to run roughshod in Europe, the risk rises that the United States gets pulled in directly. And the consequences reverberate around the world. We cannot let our allies and partners down. We cannot let Ukraine down. History will judge harshly those who fail to answer freedom’s call.”
  • [What about China you say] Chinese President Xi Jinping just warned that “reunification” with Taiwan is a “historical inevitability”…
  • And let us not forget that Kim Jong Un continues to make threats about going to war with us…

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Russian media continues talks of using nuclear weapons, claims WWIII has already begun

Revelations 6:3-4 “when he opened the second seal, I heard the second living creature say, “Come!” 4 And out came another horse, bright red. Its rider was permitted to take peace from the earth, so that people should slay one another, and he was given a great sword.

Important Takeaways:

  • Vladimir Putin ally claims World War 3 has already started – calls for nuclear strikes
  • One of Vladimir Putin’s allies has claimed World War Three has already started as he called for Russia to launch a nuclear missile strike on Britain, France and Poland.
  • TV propagandist Vladimir Solovyov told Russians that Moscow should target the West to disrupt NATO countries from sending supplies to Ukraine.
  • Such supplies should amount to a “red line” for Putin, said the war hawk who the Kremlin leader is said to watch avidly on state TV.
  • He said: “Now they’re coming in tanks…No matter how much Britain gives, for us, the red line should be simple.
  • “France gave what they call wheeled tanks…Poland made a decision, Britain made a decision.
  • “Therefore, any military target on the territory of France, Poland and Britain are legitimate targets for us to strike.
  • “We need to make it official….If necessary, then not a nuclear [weapon]
  • “And if necessary, then [we can use] tactical nuclear [weapons].
  • “Or should we wait until hundreds, thousands of tanks appear on our territory?”

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After Zelensky suggested preemptive strike Russia responds with warning

Revelations 6:3-4 “when he opened the second seal, I heard the second living creature say, “Come!” 4 And out came another horse, bright red. Its rider was permitted to take peace from the earth, so that people should slay one another, and he was given a great sword.

Important Takeaways:

  • Kremlin warns of nuclear World War III: ‘Will be catastrophic for all mankind’
  • Kremlin Security Council Deputy Secretary Alexander Venediktov warned if western nations supporting Ukraine decided to use weapons of mass destruction on Russia, it would all but guarantee World War III.
  • Venediktov’s comments come days after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy called for the West to carry out “preventative strikes” against Russia before it uses its nuclear weapons and “to eliminate the possibility that Russia will use nuclear strikes.”

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UK defense secretary warns Putin may ramp up a global offensive

Revelations 6:3-4 “when he opened the second seal, I heard the second living creature say, “Come!” 4 And out came another horse, bright red. Its rider was permitted to take peace from the earth, so that people should slay one another, and he was given a great sword.

Important Takeaways:

  • Putin could declare World War III within days, says UK defense secretary
  • UK defense secretary Ben Wallace has warned that Putin may try to “mobilize” the Russian people with a global offensive against “Nazis” as his invasion of Ukraine has “failed”
  • Russian troops first crossed the border into Ukraine on February 24, claiming they wanted to “denazify” the country.
  • Putin has also threatened to use nuclear weapons against western powers if they get in his way, with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov saying the threat of nuclear war “is serious”.
  • Now, speaking to LBC, Wallace warns that Putin may ramp up his rhetoric in the coming days.

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