Important Takeaways:
- Poland issues shocking warning of upcoming Russian attack on NATO countries
- Poland has warned of a shocking impending Russian attack on the West that could come within the next three years.
- In an interview with Nasz Dziennik, the head of Poland’s national security agency, Jacek Siewiera, said that Russia could attack NATO countries within 36 months.
- Siewiera argued Russia could attack Poland, Estonia, Romania, and Lithuania as they are on NATO’s eastern flank.
- He said: “If we want to avoid war, NATO countries on the eastern flank should adopt a shorter, three-year time horizon to prepare for confrontation. This is the time when a potential must be created on the eastern flank that would be a clear signal deterring aggression. Therefore, it is necessary to further increase the number of Polish troops.”
- This comes after German think tank German Council on Foreign Relations issued a warning that Europe needs to be on high alert to Russian escalation that could result in a direct attack. But their time frame was a little more optimistic.
- They said in a statement: “With its imperial ambitions, Russia represents the greatest and most urgent threat to Nato countries.
- “Once intensive fighting will have ended in Ukraine, the regime in Moscow may need as little as six to ten years to reconstitute its armed forces.
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Important Takeaways:
- Ukraine will join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) military alliance, according to Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg – but only after the nation’s war with Russia is over.
- “Allies agree that Ukraine will become a member of NATO. At [the NATO-Ukraine] meeting, we will agree recommendations for [Ukrainian reforms], as we continue to support Kiev on this path to NATO membership,” he said.
- The comments by Stoltenberg, a former Prime Minister of Norway, may be premature. Many NATO members, particularly Hungary and Turkey, seem unlikely to approve Ukrainian membership. It is also unclear whether Donald Trump would do so if he wins the next U.S. election, which currently appears likely.
- On the question of Ukraine joining the European Union, Hungarian leader Viktor Orban has suggested the proposal is untenable. Many of his arguments against Ukraine joining the EU, such as the fact its territory is uncertain, also apply to the country joining NATO.
- If it did, it would immediately full under the alliance’s mutual defense clause, meaning further conflict with Russia, a nuclear power, would immediately draw in all NATO member-states, including America and nuclear-armed Britain and France.
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Important Takeaways:
- Russia warns NATO of ‘catastrophic consequences’ as tensions with Moscow threaten WW3
- The Russian Foreign Ministry released a dire statement on the 90th anniversary of the Russian-US relationship warning that relations were hanging by a thread
- The statement read in part: “Owing to Washington’s policy of rampant Russophobia, [relations] risk being severed at any moment. This is not Russia’s choice, but reckless moves on the part of the United States that spin the wheel of escalation, including the doctrinal task of inflicting a ‘strategic defeat’ on Moscow, risk leading to catastrophic consequences.”
- Moscow accused the US of being “hopelessly and nonsensically focused on changing the regime and stirring up internal strife in Russia, a project into which substantial funds are being invested”.
- As Russia’s war with Ukraine approaches its third year, Moscow’s position on the battlefield has become more desperate. Billions of dollars worth of Western weaponry has flooded into Ukraine, blunting Russian advances.
- Amid this backdrop of Russian soldiers being killed by NATO weapons given to Ukraine, tensions have skyrocketed. Rhetoric out of Moscow has been sharp with some politicians and pundits going as far as to call for war with the West.
- A war between NATO and Russia would be devastating and many think that such a conflict could go nuclear.
- Russia has nearly 6,000 nuclear warheads while NATO countries – the US, UK and France – have a similar amount.
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Important Takeaways:
- Turkey cozies up to Iran after praising Hamas ‘mujahideen,’ seeks reconciliation on key issues
- Turkey has found itself at odds with its NATO allies, most of whom have backed Israel’s right to defend itself following the Hamas terrorist attack on Oct. 7, while Turkey has echoed the stances of other Middle Eastern nations in questioning Israel and defending the Palestinians.
- Erdogan took things a step further and defended the Hamas terrorists who carried out the attack, calling the group a “mujahideen,” or freedom fighters, “defending their lands.” He has also continued to push for a ceasefire, accusing the West of being “too weak” to call for one — a stance that seems common among the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) members.
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Important Takeaways:
- NATO rebukes Russia for withdrawing from post-Cold War treaty; Kyiv slams talk of 2024 elections
- “Allies condemn Russia’s decision to withdraw from the Treaty on Conventional Armed Forces in Europe (CFE), and its war of aggression against Ukraine which is contrary to the Treaty’s objectives. Russia’s withdrawal is the latest in a series of actions that systematically undermines Euro-Atlantic security,” said NATO in a statement.
- “Therefore, as a consequence, Allied States Parties intend to suspend the operation of the CFE Treaty for as long as necessary, in accordance with their rights under international law. This is a decision fully supported by all NATO Allies.”
- Earlier on Tuesday, Russia had formally withdrawn from this landmark security treaty which limited key categories of conventional armed forces, blaming the United States for undermining post-Cold War security with the enlargement of the NATO military alliance.
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Important Takeaways:
- Putin’s attack dog Medvedev rattles the sabre AGAIN: Now ranting ex-President claims Russia is ‘running out of options’ in Ukraine other than a full-blown ground war with NATO which would lead to a greater ‘cost to humanity’ than WW2
- The deputy chairman of Russia’s security council has publicly claimed that Russia is running out of options and may resort to a full war with NATO.
- Dmitry Medvedev, Russia’s former president, warned that this would lead to a third world war, which would have greater consequences than World War II.
- ‘It seems that Russia is being left with fewer and fewer options but to come into direct conflict on the ground with NATO,’ he said.
- The 74-year-old alliance ‘has become an openly fascist bloc like Hitler’s Axis, only bigger’, he claimed.
- ‘We are ready, although the result will be achieved at a much greater cost to humanity than in 1945.’
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Important Takeaways:
- RAF Typhoon jets intercept Russian bombers flying north of Scotland
- Typhoon fighters were scrambled to intercept two Russian long-range maritime patrol bombers as they transited near the Shetland Islands within NATO’s northern air policing area, the government added.
- This is not the first time RAF quick reaction aircrafts have intercepted Russian jets near UK airspace – a Russian spy plane was intercepted north of Scotland in May earlier this year, although such interceptions have happened for many years.
- When Russian jets enter airspace controlled by the UK, QRA fighters are dispatched immediately as they can often be a danger to other aircraft because they do not talk to air traffic control, and nor do they “squawk” with their code to let other air users know they are there.
- UK pilots from RAF Lossiemouth recently completed a four-month deployment to lead NATO’s air policing mission in Estonia where they intercepted 50 Russian aircraft and flew for a combined total of more than 500 hours.
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Important Takeaways:
- Putin’s escalations in Ukraine show that any fear of NATO is diminishing
- Putin has continued to escalate his attacks against Ukraine and the West.
- He has sent Russian nuclear weapons to Belarus, the first time Russia has sent nuclear weapons to a foreign country since 1962. The Wagner forces too are relocating to Belarus. These moves have led Poland to take precautionary defense moves and, as a result, Putin launched threats against Poland that resemble those made against Ukraine before 2022. He said that Poland covets former territories in Ukraine and Belarus, owes its current statehood to the Soviet Union and any attack on Belarus equates to an attack on Russia.
- Beyond that, Putin withdrew from the grain accord with Ukraine supervised by the United Nations and Turkey. Russia has also launched massive bombardments of Ukraine’s ports, infrastructure and grain infrastructure.
- Russia’s defense minister declared that not only Ukrainian ships, but any ship in the Black Sea delivering or taking cargo to and from Ukraine, is liable to be attacked as a ship working on behalf of Ukraine. Thus “any attempt to bypass the blockade might be seen as an act of war.”
- By escalating, Putin is demonstrating that he believes NATO will not respond forcefully. Furthermore, these concerted actions go beyond efforts to strangle Ukraine’s economy to threaten global hunger, particularly in poor countries. They also claim an unlawful, exclusive Russian dominance over the Black Sea, violate the principle of freedom of navigation and implicitly brandish the threat of nuclear strikes.
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Revelations 6:3-4 “when he opened the second seal, I heard the second living creature say, “Come!” 4 And out came another horse, bright red. Its rider was permitted to take peace from the earth, so that people should slay one another, and he was given a great sword.
Important Takeaways:
- US, NATO weapons stockpile ‘dangerously low’: USAF General
- “So we don’t have nearly what we had at the heart of the Cold War. Now you add that we’re giving a lot of munitions away to the Ukrainians — which I think is exactly what we need to do — but now we’re getting dangerously low and sometimes, in some cases even too low that we don’t have enough,” said Gen. James Hecker.
- According to a July 7 factsheet, the US has provided Ukraine over $41.3 billion in security assistance since Russia’s invasion in February 2022, much of it in the form of transfers of current stockpiles rather than new production. As just one example, more than 2,000 RTX-made Stinger anti-aircraft systems have been sent to the country, leading the Pentagon to struggle to replenish the current inventory as it searches for a next-generation replacement.
- The recent controversial decision by the Biden administration to send cluster munitions to Ukraine — banned in over 100 countries due to human rights concerns — was in part influenced by a constrained munitions stockpile. Over 2 million 155 mm artillery rounds among other munitions have already been shipped to the war-torn country, and US officials have framed the cluster bomb shipments as a temporary measure to provide more time to spin up artillery production and sustain Ukraine’s ongoing counteroffensive.
- A surging demand for weapons in the wake of Russia’s invasion has stressed the Western industrial base, which had actively eschewed a wartime footing. Moves like multi-year procurement authorities have been deployed by the Pentagon to provide industry a more predictable timetable for production, but Hecker joined other top officers in calling for more action.
- Heidi Grant, Boeing’s director of business development and the former top official for the Pentagon’s weapons sales, said on the panel that industry needs more than just statements from military officials for production levels to meet their desires.
- “As far as the demand signal, we’re all talking about it. But what it really takes, what industry needs is the request. A written, on-paper request so we can start those production lines that you need,” she said. “It’s hard for us to make the investment unless we know that it’s really there.”
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Revelations 6:3-4 “when he opened the second seal, I heard the second living creature say, “Come!” 4 And out came another horse, bright red. Its rider was permitted to take peace from the earth, so that people should slay one another, and he was given a great sword.
Important Takeaways:
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- Watching Asia-Pacific leaders mingle with their European counterparts at the annual NATO summit in Vilnius, Lithuania, this week, U.S. strategists might well have lit up celebratory cigars.
- While the media attention in Vilnius inevitably focused on the war in Ukraine, the fate of Sweden’s bid to join and other matters closer to home, the representation of major East Asian democracies at the Western military alliance gathering heralds a major shift, a sign of the rising unity of the U.S.-allied democracies on both flanks of the Eurasian landmass.
- For the second straight year, leaders of the Asia-Pacific 4 (“AP4”) — Australia, New Zealand, Japan and South Korea — turned up at NATO’s annual summit. The Japanese and South Korean militaries both rank in the world’s top 10 in the latest Global Firepower’s 2023 survey.
- NATO leaders, in their final summit communique, wrote: “The Indo-Pacific is important for NATO, given that developments in that region can directly affect Euro-Atlantic security. … We welcome the contribution of our partners in … the region. We will further strengthen our dialogue and cooperation to tackle our shared security challenges.”
- In a bit of diplomatic irony, it was the warming ties between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping that helped accelerate the East-West coalition building against them.
- “With China and Russia announcing a ‘no-limits partnership’ shortly before the invasion [of Ukraine]…the balancing coalitions at either end of Eurasia became strongly linked together,” said Joel Atkinson, an international politics professor at Seoul’s Hankuk University of Foreign Studies.
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