November could produce more storms as a high pressure system lingers over the Caribbean

Late Season tropical scenarios

Important Takeaways:

  • Meteorologists predicted a tropical storm could form in an area of high pressure that would push it on the same path as Helene and Milton that struck Florida earlier this month.
  • The pressure system could also create a funnel, allowing it to travel up the Eastern Seaboard.
  • Meteorologist Michael Lowry told USA Today: ‘Named storms affecting us here in the states in November only happen about once every 15 years on average.
  • ‘They’re an uncommon occurrence but when they do strike, they almost invariably strike Florida.’
  • While rare, the Sunshine State has seen three hurricanes in November since 2005, with the most recent in 2022

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Helene likely to be a hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico by Wednesday.

Tropical-storm-Helene

Important Takeaways:

  • Hurricane, storm surge and tropical storm watches have been issued for parts of Florida
  • Tropical Storm Helene could form later today, and it is forecast to strengthen into a large, major hurricane before it strikes Florida’s Gulf Coast Thursday.
  • The hurricane could be both strong and large at landfall with life-threatening storm surge, damaging winds and flooding rain.
  • Locally strong winds and heavy rain will push well inland in parts of the South into Friday.

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“I just feel it was God’s will for me to be in the right place at the right time”

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Important Takeaways:

  • A truck driver found a 1-year-old alive in a ditch off an interstate highway in Louisiana this week, a day after the boy’s 4-year-old brother was found dead near the same freeway in what investigators think was a case of abandonment around the time tropical storm conditions hit the area, authorities said.
  • A Louisiana sheriff, who says he believes the 1-year-old spent two days along Interstate 10, including while Hurricane Beryl or its weaker iterations battered the western Gulf Coast region with rain and strong wind – is praising the truck driver for seeing the child and stopping to pick up him up Tuesday.
  • “This kid spent two days out in the weather on the side of the highway. … Thank God that trucker (saw) him.”
  • Truck driver Reginald Walton was driving on I-10 when he saw something “to the right, over in the … embankment” ‘Hey, that looks like a baby,’” Walton, of Texas, told KADN.
  • “Sure enough, there was a little boy sitting down the embankment there. As I approached him, he smiled at me, and then he stood up and started crying and walked toward me,” Walton said.
  • The boys’ mother, a Louisiana resident, has been arrested in Mississippi and faces murder and other charges, accused of abandoning the children in Louisiana, authorities said Thursday.
  • Walton, meanwhile, told KADN he didn’t feel like he was a hero. “I just feel it was God’s will for me to be in the right place at the right time”

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First Tropical Storm of the Season: Warnings for Texas and Mexico coasts

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Important Takeaways:

  • Tropical Storm Warnings Issued for Texas, Mexico Coasts Ahead of likely future Alberto
  • Tropical storm warnings have been issued for parts of the Texas and Mexico coasts.
  • This system will move west toward Mexico.
  • Flooding rain, coastal flooding, gusty winds, high surf and rip currents will affect the western Gulf Coast of the U.S., especially Texas.
  • Flooding rain is also likely in parts of Mexico and Central America.

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Hurricane Lee rapidly strengthening towards Caribbean islands with “life-threatening” conditions expected

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Important Takeaways:

  • Hurricane Lee was rapidly strengthening on Thursday as it churned towards Caribbean islands with “life-threatening” conditions expected to develop in the coming days.
  • “Rapid intensification is expected to begin later today, and Lee is forecast to become a major hurricane by early Friday,” NHC reported.
  • Current projections show Hurricane Lee will not make landfall but pass north of the British Virgin Islands, which is still recovering from hurricanes Maria and Irma in September 2017.
  • Lee is the 12th named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to November 30.

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New Storm brewing in the Atlantic: Too early to tell the direction but experts are predicting a powerful storm

Tropical-Storm-Lee

Important Takeaways:

  • Hurricane Lee forecast: Maps show where and when ‘extremely dangerous’ new storm is set to unleash devastation
  • Tropical Storm Lee is expected to turn into an ‘extremely dangerous’ hurricane in the Atlantic Ocean by this weekend.
  • Lee could become a major category 3 or stronger storm by Friday as it approaches the Caribbean, forecasters said.
  • Last night, the storm was located some 1,230 miles east of the Leeward Islands of the Lesser Antilles, which include the Virgin Islands, Saint Martin, Antigua and Barbuda.
  • But by Sunday evening, its winds could reach winds of 150 mph, the center added.
  • It was forecast to strengthen into an ‘extremely dangerous’ hurricane by Friday as it moves over very warm waters and passes just northeast of the Caribbean region, the center said.
  • Preliminary forecasts are not predicting any landfall, although the center warned that ‘it is too early to determine exactly how close this system will be to the Leeward Islands.’
  • Lee is the twelfth named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to November 30.

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August had no named storms first time in 25 years and only the third time since the satellite era

Revelation 16:9 “They were scorched by the fierce heat, and they cursed the name of God who had power over these plagues. They did not repent and give him glory.”

Important Takeaways:

  • Zero named storms in Atlantic basin during August for 1st time in 25 years
  • Since the satellite era began in 1960, there have now been only three years — 1961, 1997 and 2022 — that there were no named systems during August.
  • According to AccuWeather forecasters, atmospheric conditions were too hostile to support tropical development across the basin during August.
  • Since there have only been three short-lived tropical storms, Alex, Bonnie and Colin, earlier this season, this season’s ACE was at a mere 2.8 by the time the calendar switched to September. But, almost as if right on cue, Tropical Storm Danielle formed in the north-central Atlantic on Sept. 1.

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Tropical Storm Alex, the first named storm of the Atlantic Hurricane Season, is barreling toward Florida

Matt 24:7 Then he said to them: “Nation will rise against nation, and kingdom against kingdom. There will be great earthquakes, famines and pestilences in various places, and fearful events and great signs from heaven.

Important Takeaways:

  • Florida faces flash, urban flooding as Hurricane Agatha remnants threaten to become Tropical Storm Alex
  • The Hurricane Center warns that “considerable flash and urban flood is possible.”
  • A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible somewhere within the watch area within 48 hours.

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National Hurricane Center could release tropical storm watches and warnings later today for Florida

Matt 24:7 Then he said to them: “Nation will rise against nation, and kingdom against kingdom. There will be great earthquakes, famines and pestilences in various places, and fearful events and great signs from heaven.

Important Takeaways:

  • The disturbance, which is the remnants of the Pacific Ocean’s Hurricane Agatha, has an 80% chance of reforming into a tropical depression or storm in the next two to five days
  • May become Tropical Storm Alex and become the first named system of the Atlantic season
  • On Monday, Hurricane Agatha made history as the strongest hurricane ever recorded to come ashore in May during the eastern Pacific hurricane season, ripping off roofs and washing out roads before fading Tuesday in southern Mexico.

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Early-season Gulf of Mexico storm trims some U.S. oil production

HOUSTON (Reuters) -The first storm to hit oil-producing regions of the U.S. Gulf of Mexico this year sent workers fleeing offshore oil platforms and cut some production.

A weather disturbance in the central Gulf of Mexico was expected to become a tropical storm on Friday. It was moving north at about 14 miles per hour (22 kmh) and could bring up to 12-inches of rain to the central U.S. Gulf Coast by Saturday, the National Weather Service said.

Equinor ASA on Friday said it had removed staff and shut production at its Titan platform, which is about 65 miles (105 km) off the coast of Louisiana. Chevron and Occidental Petroleum also removed staff and began taking precautions at their offshore oil and gas platforms.

“This is not that unusual to run evacuation flights this early in the season,” said Jason Glynn, director of operations at a Bristow Group offshore crew transport unit in Louisiana. “The last couple of years we’ve always had one softball like this early in the season.”

Chevron removed non-essential staff from three U.S. Gulf of Mexico oil platforms and fully evacuated a fourth that is about 150 miles sought of Louisiana. Output remains at normal levels, a spokesperson said.

“All of our facilities have plans to prepare for weather-related events and are implementing those procedures,” Occidental said on its website. It did not comment on production.

Other major producers including BP, BHP, Royal Dutch Shell and Murphy Oil said they were monitoring weather conditions but production had not been affected.

Louisiana Offshore Oil Port, the region’s only deep water oil export port, was operating normally. Offshore pipeline operator Enbridge also said it was monitoring conditions.

(Reporting by Gary McWilliams; Editing by David Gregorio)