Two back-to-back strikes in Beirut and Tehran have left Hezbollah and Iran in a quandary

AP24213750657775-e1722497257941-1024x640 A supporter of Hezbollah and Hamas holds a mock rocket at a protest to condemn the killing of the Hamas terror group chief Ismail Haniyeh, in the southern port city of Sidon, Lebanon, July 31, 2024. (AP Photo/Mohammed Zaatari)

Revelation 6:3-4 “when he opened the second seal, I heard the second living creature say, “Come!” 4 And out came another horse, bright red. Its rider was permitted to take peace from the earth, so that people should slay one another, and he was given a great sword.

Important Takeaways:

  • Analysts agree that both strikes hit too close to home to pass without a response, and were serious security breaches for both Iran and its proxy terror group.
  • Calibrating that response to restore deterrence without sparking an even more damaging escalation may be the most delicate balancing act in nearly a year of teetering on the brink of a regional war.
  • Tuesday’s rare strike in Beirut’s southern suburbs killed a top Hezbollah commander who Israel says was responsible for a missile strike on a soccer field in the town of Majdal Shams in the Golan Heights, killing 12 children.
  • Less than 12 hours later, the Palestinian terror group Hamas — a Hezbollah ally also backed by Iran — announced that the chief of its political bureau, Ismail Haniyeh, had been killed in an Israeli airstrike in Tehran
  • “In the Israeli-Hezbollah confrontation, this is a major escalation whereby Hezbollah has to respond adequately in a more or less timely fashion” to restore deterrence.
  • “We are in the territory of too many ‘ifs’ to avoid a war, and this doesn’t bode well.”

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