Banking trouble as Treasury yields rise

Treasury-Building Banks are bracing for a recession as bond yields jump to highest levels since before the 2007-2008 global financial crisis. MANDEL NGAN/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES

Revelations 13:16-18 “Also it causes all, both small and great, both rich and poor, both free and slave, to be marked on the right hand or the forehead, so that no one can buy or sell unless he has the mark, that is, the name of the beast or the number of its name. This calls for wisdom: let the one who has understanding calculate the number of the beast, for it is the number of a man, and his number is 666.”

Important Takeaways:

  • Banks are bracing for a recession as Treasury yields surge
  • Bank stocks might be on pace for yearly losses as sharply higher interest rates take a toll, but the industry’s reserves are at the highest level in three decades, according to DBRS Morningstar.
  • Bank shares have come under more selling pressure since the Federal Reserve in September signaled it could keep rates higher for longer than earlier anticipated. The tough talk has dampened the year’s rally in stocks and reignited a dramatic selloff in the roughly $25 trillion Treasury market.
  • “Right now, there is nothing standing in the way of higher Treasury yields,” Kathy Jones, chief fixed-income strategist at Schwab Center for Financial Research, told MarketWatch. “It’s fairly obvious it’s not good for banks. The rise in yields has just been relentless.”
  • Higher yields on newly issued Treasury bonds erode the value of portfolios that include lower coupon debt issued when rates were lower. Banks also tend to hold large exposure to commercial property loans that could be difficult to refinance if rates stay higher for longer.

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