Revelations 6:3-4 “when he opened the second seal, I heard the second living creature say, “Come!” 4 And out came another horse, bright red. Its rider was permitted to take peace from the earth, so that people should slay one another, and he was given a great sword.

Important Takeaways:

• Ukraine: Is the Hammer About to Fall?
• The ultimate strategic objective of the current policy, is to tighten the grip of western elites on the levers of global power and to prevent the dissolution of the “rules-based international order.” But after 11 months of nonstop warfare in Ukraine, the US-backed western coalition finds itself in a worse position than when it began.
• One of the biggest surprises of the current war, is simply the lack of preparedness on part of the US.
• Otherwise, how does one explain these glaring errors in judgement:
  • They never thought the sanctions would backfire
  • They never thought they’d run out of weapons and ammo
  • They never thought Russia’s oil receipts would skyrocket
  • They never thought that the majority of countries would maintain normal relations with Russia
  • They never figured they’d actually need a coherent military strategy for fighting a ground war in Eastern Europe.
• Excerpt from an interview with ex-Brigade General Erich Vad who served as Angela Merkel’s policy advisor from 2006 to 2013:
• Let’s summarize:
  • The media is “overestimating the (effect of) Ukrainians’ regionally limited offensives”. In short, the Ukrainians are losing the war.
  • The Russians are winning the war. (“The Russians are clearly advancing. They will probably have completely conquered the Donbass before long.”)
  • Russia can mobilize up to two million reservists
  • Weapons alone will not change the outcome of the war. (“the martens and leopards are not enough.”)
  • There is no evidence that the west has clearly defined strategic objectives. (“Do you want to achieve a willingness to negotiate with the deliveries of the tanks? Do you want to reconquer Donbas or Crimea? Or do you want to defeat Russia completely? There is no realistic end state definition. And without an overall political and strategic concept, arms deliveries are pure militarism…Military operations must always be coupled with attempts to bring about political solutions.”)
• Remember the Powell Doctrine [Colin Powell]? “The Powell Doctrine states that a list of questions all have to be answered affirmatively before military action is taken by the United States:
  • Is a vital national security interest threatened?
  • Do we have a clear attainable objective?
  • Have the risks and costs been fully and frankly analyzed?
  • Have all other non-violent policy means been fully exhausted?
  • Is there a plausible exit strategy to avoid endless entanglement?
  • Have the consequences of our action been fully considered?
  • Is the action supported by the American people?
  • Do we have genuine broad international support?
• Colonel Douglas MacGregor said in a recent interview:
  • “There are now 540,000 Russian troops stationed around the outskirts of Ukraine preparing to launch a major offensive that I think will probably end the war in Ukraine.540,000 Russian troops, 1,000 rocket artillery systems, 5000 armored fighting vehicles including at least 1,5000 tanks, hundreds and hundreds of tactical ballistic missiles. Ukraine is now going to experience war on a scale we haven’t seen since 1945.”
• Bottom line: While Washington and its NATO allies do not have a coherent strategy for winning the war in Ukraine…
• We expect that the outcome of this conflict will reshape Europe’s outdated security architecture and force a realignment that will mark the end of the unipolar era.

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